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Iraq, politics, etc.

Started: Wednesday, April 7, 2004 04:06

Finished: Wednesday, April 7, 2004 05:25

Well... So many scattered thoughts, I'm not sure where to begin, but I wanted to at least open up a thread for discussion on current events (Content Solutions tends to get limiting for trying to talk about anything in depth). Or even if nobody else feels like commenting, I'll just babble a little bit here.

Iraq. The signs would suggest that open war has begun, or at least the match has been lit under the dry kindling. If the reports I've been reading, hearing, and seeing are correct, it might not be too big of a leap to suggest that the real war, in fact, did not begin a year ago. That was just a prelude, a cakewalk, as the United States army steamrolled into a country that had been so run down by a brutal dictator that it had neither the ability nor the will to defend itself.

Now, that has changed. With growing support from the indigenous population, the most extreme militants have gotten organized, and though the United States is far superior in technology, training, machinery, and potential troop numbers, we are still at a disadvantage. We are fighting a war on foreign soil, in a land where a majority of the people, though they have many internal disagreements among themselves between differing factions, have come to the common conclusion that the "foreigners" are not welcome.

This scenario does have at least one historical precedent. I'm not referring to Vietnam either. Think a little bit farther back, on the order of a couple hundred years. 1776. Ring a bell?

Of course, the analogy is not perfect, but there are enough similarities to wince at, even without making up silly puns about "King George".

I'm still proud to be an American, despite the missteps taken by my country's leadership, past and present.

Pertinent reading material:

  • Raed discusses the situation. In simple bullet point form (without the bullets), he gives the straight dope about what's going on, as well as how this has been brewing under the radar for many months now.
  • U.S. reporter flees Baghdad. A pretty vivid description of the state of things, and the sudden change in mood that has been palpable just during the past few weeks. But my favorite quote was this one:

    "The Bush administration's fantasy about how it was going to transform postwar Iraq reminds me of a 'Star Trek' episode in which a confident multicultural, quasi-military group beams down to a planet where people are following the wrong leader. The Enterprise crew quickly implants American-style democracy and, by episode's end, are light-speeding toward another galaxy, safe in the knowledge that the changes they've wrought are good and right and will endure. It doesn't work that way in real life."

    When I first read that, I had to struggle not to laugh (don't want to wake my dad up in the middle of the night), but now it doesn't seem quite so funny anymore. Just sad.

  • And since I couldn't resist following Zan Lynx's link, Toxins and Tumors. That guy has a lot of interesting stuff to say on some subjects, but I sure hope his xenophobic paranoia is not as widespread in this country as some anecdotes might suggest. Otherwise, I fear we are in for many more long and bloody battles.

    "The events in Fallujah were not criminal acts, but acts of insurrection. A response is called for. It must be a bloody response, a thrust that leaves bodies dangling from gibbets and houses in flames. The sole questions of importance are how many bodies and which houses, where they're situated, and what proclamation should follow....

    "Once they've revealed their nature by action, villains aren't to be understood, negotiated with, or appeased. They aren't to be treated as persons with a possibly legitimate grievance or a culturally grounded viewpoint about social and governmental structures. In the aftermath of such as Fallujah, villains are to be punished."

    Yeah, that attitude will put Iraq on a fast track to peace and democracy. Note my sarcasm. (Yes, what happened Fellujah was horrible. But punishing the people of the entire region en masse is the surest way to make sure everyone there hates us with a venomous passion.)

    And in a follow-up article he wrote:

    "Throughout Iraq, there are pockets of Baathist sympathy. Every one of those pockets has wondered whether there was still a chance of expelling the Coalition and reestablishing Baathist control of the country. If our response to Fallujah should suggest that our commitment is not firm, or that we aren't willing to strike as hard as necessary to enforce peace, or that we might run out of money or other resources before the Baathists and their supporters have been completely put down, it will encourage more such atrocities, eventuate in more American and Iraqi deaths, and require still greater and more lethal efforts to regain control."

    This perpetuates a misconception I've been hearing a lot of lately. Anybody in Iraq who opposes the U.S. occupation must be either a Baathist or an Al Quieda terrorist (or a sympathizer with one of them). Some elsewhere have gone so far as to accuse Riverbend of being a Baathist because she criticizes Bush. (In some of the comment replies.)

    Why is it so difficult to comprehend that there might be people who didn't like Saddam's rule, but don't exactly enjoy having their land taken over by a foreign power either? I guess that line, "You are with us or against us," really stuck in some quarters. That might explain some of the even more bizarre reasoning that concludes anybody on the political left must be allied with Islamic terrorists. (Follow a link which that article references, which in turn links to some of the most entertaining conspiracy theories I've seen in quite a while. It starts out reasonably enough, but just wait a few paragraphs... and now I'm getting off on a tangent.)

Blah. I think it's time for me to get out from in front of this screen. As always, the floor is open.

Why is it difficult...
by Zan Lynx (2004-04-07 07:23)

I don't find it difficult to understand why they want to get rid of the US in Iraq. But this is war. And if we're going to do war, then LET'S DO WAR!

Not some half-assed police action, but brutal, violent and EFFECTIVE.

Then, when they give up, we can be nice.

They haven't given up yet.

As you say, they're just starting.

Contradiction
by bouncing (2004-04-07 08:32)

but brutal, violent and EFFECTIVE.

Contradiction there, Zan Lynx. There has never been -- in the history of the world -- a "brutal, violent, and EFFECTIVE" way of Democratic nation-building. Nation-building is hard. Really, really hard. Conservatives hate it and George Bush ran against it in his campaign. What were we removing from Iraq? A brutal regime? Yes. A violent regime? Yes. An effective regime? I suppose so. So how would a brutal, violent, American regime be any better?

Extremism festers when people stop seeing each other as people. When the terrorists flew their planes into the World Trade Center, they didn't see people in there -- living things of the same species -- no, they saw an enemy. Nothing more. Middle Easterners do have very legitimate grievances against the United States. We created, funded, and gave weapons of mass destruction to Saddam's government in the 1980s. (See who that is shaking hands with Saddam?) Us doing that is one of the legitimate grievances they have against us.

The problem is, that they decided not to air those grievances in a legitimate way. They began to see America as the "great satan" and Americans as less than human. Therefor, the moral objection that any human would have of pointlessly slaughtering another was quelled. If we too seek vengence, not justice, we will be no better.

I'll close by observing words like "It must be a bloody response, a thrust that leaves bodies dangling from gibbets and houses in flames" sound a terrible lot like "It must be a bloody response, a thrust that leaves bodies dangling from biggets and tall office buildings in flames."

It's about war
by Zan Lynx (2004-04-07 13:50)

If the Iraqi people won't help us track down the attackers, then we're still at war, and it isn't a nation building problem.

War _is_ brutal and violent. That's what it's all about. And if we're going to do it, it should be effective or it's a waste of time.

Violence can be very effective. Inside the nation, police use it, and it works. Outside the nation, the military uses it, and it works.

It all comes down to the simple policy of "keep hurting them until they do what you want." It works on everybody unless they're willing to die. It even works then, because they're dead and not bothering you anymore.

The attack on the towers wasn't very effective, was it? It destroyed the towers, but I doubt they got whatever AQ expected to get out of it.

Anyway, I'm not in favor of hanging random people from gibbets on the streets. Hanging the guilty people would be okay.

I certainly wouldn't see anything wrong with announcing a deadline to leave the city, then destroying the whole thing. Much more effective than house to house fighting with ambushes all the way.

That's what I meant by violent and effective.

Anyway, my whole point is, "If we're going to do war, then let's do war. Serious war."

War
by bouncing (2004-04-07 15:05)

I agree with you in principal in terms of not mixing war and none-war. First a few observations: No declaration of war has been made. But we're at war, now? Who with? The Iraqi people?

As for the "keep hurting them until they do what you want" system. That has not worked to well for Israel, has it? As for the "because they dead and not bothering you anymore" -- the 9/11 hijackers are dead, but I think they continue to bother us. If we try to kill terrorists as fast as we create them, we'll be committing genocide.

The reality is, if we're in a BRUTAL, VIOLENT war with a specific insurgency in Iraq which has growing minority support, that's a very unpleasant place to be. It's where we were in Vietnam.

I think the reason we're so critical of the war effort is, we're mostly bitter that the Bush administration outright lied. It's a quagmire. We said it would be a quagmire. No one listened. Now, the easy transition to Democracy the Bush administration promised, has turned out to be a pipe dream. Rumsfeld's assertion that Iraqis would forever greet us with open arms as we occupy them hasn't turned out to be true.

No WMD's found. No nuclear program found. No terrorists found. Valuable resources have been taken from the real war on terror. Al Quada's recruiting has gotten a lot easier. Iraq is now, because of our invasion, a haven for terrorists. The Israel-Palistine conflict has gotten worse. On each and every point, the pre-war justification has turned out false. Even Don Rumsfeld now has admitted that we're creating terrorists faster than we can kill them.

So now that we're in this quagmire, we're saying we should escelate the war? We're no longer fighting an ideology or institution, just a growing minority of people who want us dead. Bush said major combat operations is over. But if our intention is to beat the civilian resistance down until they see things our way, I fear we'll be in Iraq longer than we were in Vietnam.

Saying "We told you so" carries a lot less satisfaction when people's lives are at stake. Hence the anger at Bush.

Hard to argue with that
by Bitscape (2004-04-07 19:34)

You don't mince words, do you? :)

That pretty much sums up the exact reasons why I was against this war from the beginning. I don't believe in effective, brutal violence unless it is used for defensive purposes. That pretty much rules out wars on foreign soil, except in cases of defending allies against agression, such as World War 2.

If using violence to bring the rest of the world under our thumb is what this country is now about, then let us not kid ourselves with words of propaganda. This war is not about "liberating" anybody, nor does it have anything to do with "freedom" or "democracy". It is about use of violence to bring the entire population of a foreign nation into submission. "Keep hurting them until they do what you want," as you say.

If Bush had openly used your line of reasoning last year when he was trying to convince people to go to war, at least that would have been honest, but I doubt he would have received nearly as much support as he did.

The war was originally purported to be purely against the regime of Saddam Hussein, from whom we were "saving" the Iraqi people. Now we are forced to admit that we are at war with the people themselves. Not a pretty picture.

I'll give you this: At least you don't try to sugarcoat it.

Conspiracy Theories
by Zan Lynx (2004-04-07 13:54)

I don't believe most of them. Some sound pretty plausible, but the good ones all do.

I find your comment about conspiracy theories really funny when I consider some of the things you've claimed about Bush and Ashcroft. :-)

Bush? Ashcroft? Conspiracy?
by Bitscape (2004-04-07 19:07)

What have I claimed about Bush and Ashcroft that isn't already widely known? Does strong disagreement with their policies, methods, and increasingly apparent falsehoods make me a conspiracy theorist?

I know there have been some wild conspiracy theories about the history of the Bush family floating around, but I don't use those as a basis for my criticisms.

If what I say is funny, I'm glad somebody is entertained, even if I'm not sure what the joke is.

Conspiracy
by Zan Lynx (2004-04-08 23:58)

Maybe it wasn't you. I'm speaking of the people who claim Bush allowed 9/11 to happen in order to take away civil liberties.

That's not the only one, but theories like that count as conspiracy theories. I thought I remembered you speculating in that direction once or twice.

9/11 conspiracies
by Bitscape (2004-04-09 02:16)

I do recall linking to an article that presented such a theory at one point, although I'm feeling too lazy to dig it up right now.

Without seeing some strong evidence, I'm inclined not to believe it though. I do find it conceivable that there would be motive for Bush and his people to do something like that (in pursuit of more power), but the appearance of motive by itself is not enough to draw a firm conclusion. I say give him the benefit of the doubt on that count.

Regardless of whether Bush was complicit in allowing 9/11 to happen, there's no doubt that his administration took full advantage after it happened to take away American liberties and drive people into a state of greater fear. The Patriot Act is evidence of that. (I can't put the all the blame for that on Bush though. Most of Congress, including many Democrats who have since changed their tunes, voted Yes to enact it.)

I believe that politicians, as a rule, want more power, and are willing to go to great lengths to gain it. Most wouldn't go to such an extreme as to intentionally cause or allow an event like 9/11. Exceptional cases like Hitler or Stalin might though. Would someone who claimed that Hitler orchestrated the burning of the Reichstag in 1933 been branded a conspiracy theorist?

But Bush? I don't think so. He's evil, but not that evil. :)

Iraq is proving that Bush is probably more inept than he is sinister. If he had known beforehand that Iraq would turn into such a mess as to jeopordize his re-election chances, I suspect his actions last year might have been different. But he can't admit it now without losing face.

Well, that's enough wandering commentary from me for now. I shall now conspire to get something useful done. Well, maybe.